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Behind the Scenes of EU-MORE Policy Review: Estimation of the Policy Impact

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 Ivan
(@ivan)
Posts: 88
Member Admin Registered, Motor Policy Forum
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Purpose and Methodology of the EU-MORE Policy Review

The EU-MORE Policy Review aimed to quantify the reduction in electricity consumption achieved by policy measures in each EU Member State. The reviewed policies were first categorized by their target sector, using the Odyssee-MURE database's classification system. Sub-sectors targeted by specific policies, such as "Industry – Energy Intensive Companies" or "Municipalities", were included.
Data Sources for Impact Estimation
Electricity consumption data was gathered for each Member State in the industrial, service, and residential sectors. Data sources included:
Industrial sector: https://www.odyssee-mure.eu/
Service and residential sectors: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/energy/database
For Austria, Croatia, Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal, and Slovakia, final energy consumption data for the "Industry – SMEs" sub-sector was obtained from https://leap4sme.eu/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/LEAP4SME-D2.1-SME-energy-and-economic-mapping-in-Europe.pdf. In these cases, the national electricity share of final consumption was used to estimate the sub-sector's electricity consumption. Electricity consumption in the "Industry – Large Companies" sub-sector for these countries was estimated as the difference between total industrial consumption and SME-related consumption.
Disaggregated electricity consumption data was not publicly available for the sub-sectors "Industry - Energy Intensive Companies," "Buildings – Public," and "Municipalities."

Estimating Electricity Savings

A qualitative "Policy Level Impact" score (High, Medium, or Low) assigned to each policy measure in the country reviews was used to estimate electricity savings. For example, a policy targeting the entire industrial sector with a "High" impact was estimated to save at least 0.5% of the national industrial electricity consumption.
The overall impact of a policy measure (the sum of its impact on each targeted sector) was calculated when all sector-specific impacts were available. This approach allowed for estimating the overall impact of approximately 60% of the analyzed policies across EU countries.

Limitations of the Methodology

The adopted methodology has major two limitations:
Lack of Sub-sectoral Data: Comparisons between EU countries are not possible due to the absence of sub-sectoral data for all countries.
Lower Bound Estimation: Due to the lack of sub-sectoral data, the methodology provides a lower bound of the achieved electricity savings, not an exact estimate.
These limitations acknowledge the potential underestimation of the actual impact of the policies.

Are you aware of additional data sources that could improve the impact estimation?
Which modifications would you propose to improve the methodology?

 

Ivan / EU-MORE Team


This topic was modified 2 years ago 4 times by Ivan
 
Posted : 11/03/2024 12:24 am
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